fredag 4 september 2009

Vad gör och tycker palestinaaraberna? [kopia]

Gör

Utan större vrål från Bildt sköt Hamas och anhang 5 granater in i Israel i torsdags. Avsikten räknas, inte resultatet - som svenska tidningar brukar koncentrera sej på. "OK, visserligen sköt de sina hemmagjorda raketer men de träffade ingen människa so who cares....." Några granater föll ner i Gaza. De ställde till stor förödelse bland jordbruksarbetet i södra Israel även om ingen dödades denna gången. Hamas tog ansvaret för fyra och PFLP tre enligt de arabiska nyheterna. Israel besvarade elden, som de alltid gör nu, även om de gör det lite lamt. Hade de bombat 50 tunnlar i stället för en - som i detta fallet var av typen som Hamas kidnappade Shalit med - så hade det varit mera effektivt. Storleksordningen 225 raketer/granater har avlossats från Gaza sedan "stilleståndet" den 18 januari. Betydligt viktigare än om en jude bygger ett nytt dass i Samarien. PS - Bildt och de flesta som utsatts för EU:s propaganda känner inte ens till grunden av vad som avsågs med FN:s rekommendation §242 - se slutet av http://israelisverige.info/?p=1195

Tycker

En gallupundersökning i augusti berättade en del - i vissa fall intressanta - saker om araberna i Judéen/Samarien/Gaza - som att många faktiskt är rätt nöjda med livet och många varken håller på Fatah eller Hamas. Där är ett stort vacuum där ett politiskt parti skulle kunna uppstå, med människornas väl och ve på agandan, inte terroristgäng som försöker spela poltik med ytterst dålig framgång. Eftersom terroristgängen får alla pengarna från Bildt finns vissa problem. För ytterligare förklaringar, se länken http://www.pcpsr.org/survey/polls/2009/p33e.html#findingsnumber [Obs - blogspot tycker egentligen inte om långa tabeller - gå en bit ner om där är tomrum. Det syns mycket bättre på originalartikeln på http://israelisverige.info/?p=1236 men där fungerar inte Twinglylänkarna ibland....]

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

00 )

From among the following satellite news stations, which one you watched most during the last two months?

1) Al Arabia

10.0

7.4

14.4

2) Al Jazeera

53.6

61.6

39.6

3) Al Hurra

0.2

0.2

0.2

4) Al Manar

2.2

3.1

0.7

5) Palestine TV

12.8

11.4

15.2

6) Al-Aqsa TV

9.4

4.5

17.8

7) Do not watch TV

8.5

8.4

8.6

8 ) Others

2.4

2.1

2.8

9) Do not have a dish

0.8

1.1

0.2

10) No Opinion/Don’t know

0.2

0.1

0.5

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

01)

In general, how would you describe conditions of the Palestinians in the Palestinian areas in Gaza Strip these days?

1) Very good

2.6

2.6

2.6

2) Good

11.3

11.3

11.2

3) So so

15.4

17.4

11.9

4) Bad

35.3

36.7

32.7

5) Very bad

32.8

27.8

41.6

6) DK/NA

2.7

4.3

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

02)

In general, how would you describe conditions of the Palestinians in the Palestinian areas in the West Bank these days?

1) Very good

7.6

5.1

12.0

2) Good

26.4

23.6

31.3

3) So so

26.5

31.8

17.4

4) Bad

24.5

26.8

20.5

5) Very bad

10.9

11.7

9.5

6) DK/NA

4.0

0.9

9.3

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

03)

Generally, do you see yourself as:

1) Religious

47.1

38.0

63.0

2) Somewhat religious

49.7

58.1

34.9

3) Not religious

2.9

3.3

2.1

4) DK/NA

0.4

0.6

0.0

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

04)

Generally, do you see yourself as:

1) Supportive of the peace process

65.9

59.2

77.6

2) Opposed to the peace process

18.5

21.5

13.2

3) Between support and opposition

14.3

17.9

7.9

4) DK/NA

1.3

1.4

1.2

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

05)

Do you think that there is corruption in PA institutions under the control of President Abu Mazin?

1) Yes

67.5

71.1

61.2

2) No

20.3

16.6

26.7

3) DK/NA

12.3

12.4

12.1

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

06)

If yes, will this corruption in PA institutions under the control of President Abu Mazin increase, decrease or remain as it is in the future?

1) Will increase

50.5

57.0

37.5

2) Will remain as it is

17.6

17.9

16.9

3) Will decrease

25.5

19.2

38.2

4) DK/NA

6.4

5.8

7.4

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

07)

How would you evaluate the current status of democracy and human rights in the Palestinian Authority under Abu Mazin? Would you say it is:
1) Very good

6.9

5.5

9.4

2) Good

29.5

26.7

34.4

3) Neither bad nor good

24.7

26.1

22.3

4) Bad

22.2

24.2

18.8

5) Very bad

12.9

13.8

11.4

6) DK/NA

3.8

3.7

3.8

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

08)

How would you evaluate the current status of democracy and human rights in the Gaza Strip under Ismail Hanyiehgovernment? Would you say it is:
1) Very good

5.7

4.6

7.4

2) Good

22.7

20.9

25.9

3) Fair

19.1

18.8

19.6

4) Bad

23.8

25.8

20.2

5) Very bad

19.3

16.5

24.2

6) DK/NA

9.5

13.3

2.8

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

09)

Would you say that these days your security and safety, and that of your family, is assured or not assured?

1) Completely assured

8.7

5.8

13.7

2) Assured

51.1

52.1

49.4

3) Not assured

32.8

35.8

27.6

4) Not assured at all

7.2

6.2

9.0

5) DK/NA

0.2

0.1

0.4

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

10)

Tell us how do you evaluate the performance of the dismissed government of Ismail Haniyeh in the Gaza Strip? Is it good or bad?
1) Very good

7.6

6.9

8.9

2) Good

29.7

26.2

35.8

3) So so

22.3

21.4

23.8

4) Bad

21.9

22.5

20.7

5) Very bad

7.7

6.3

10.3

6) DK/NA

10.8

16.7

0.5

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

11)

Tell us how do you evaluate the performance of the government that was headed by Salam Fayyad until recently when he formed a new government? Is it good or bad?

1) Very good

6.3

6.3

6.3

2) Good

31.4

31.3

31.4

3) So so

24.1

23.1

25.8

4) Bad

22.6

22.5

22.7

5) Very bad

8.0

8.0

8.2

6) DK/NA

7.6

8.8

5.5

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

12)

Are you satisfied or not satisfied with the performance of Mahmud Abbas since his election as president of the PA?

1) Very satisfied

5.4

4.3

7.5

2) Satisfied

42.6

42.0

43.6

3) Not satisfied

34.0

33.6

34.6

4) Not satisfied at all

14.7

15.8

12.7

5) DK/NA

3.3

4.3

1.6

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

13)

If new presidential elections are to take place today, and Mahmud Abbas was nominated by Fateh and Ismail Haniyeh was nominated by Hamas, whom would you vote for?

1) Mahmud Abbas

52.4

52.8

51.9

2) Ismail Haniyeh

38.3

36.4

40.8

3) DK/NA

9.3

10.9

7.3

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

14)

And if the competition was between Marwan Barghouti representing Fateh and Ismail Haniyeh representing Hamas, whom would you vote for?

1) Marwan Barghouti

62.2

66.4

56.1

2) Ismail Haniyeh

31.2

26.7

37.6

3) DK/NA

6.6

6.9

6.3

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

16)

If new elections agreed to by all factions are held today and the same lists that took part in the last PLC elections were nominated, for whom would you vote?

1) Alternative

1.3

0.9

1.8

2) Independent Palestine

3.2

3.7

2.6

3) Abu Ali Mustafa

4.1

5.2

2.6

4) Abu al Abbas

0.2

0.0

0.4

5) Freedom and social justice

0.4

0.5

0.3

6) Change and reform

28.0

24.6

33.2

8 ) Third way

1.0

1.4

0.3

9) Freedom and independence

0.2

0.4

0.0

10) Palestinian justice

0.4

0.7

0.0

11) Fateh

44.2

41.4

48.5

12) None of the above/ DK/NA/ Do not remember

16.9

21.2

10.2

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

17)

After the separation between Gaza and the West Bank, Hamas and the government of Ismail Haniyeh remained in power in Gaza and considered itself the legitimate government while president Abu Mazin formed a new government headed by Salam Fayyad and it too considered itself legitimate. What about you, which of the two governments you consider legitimate, the government of Haniyeh or the government of Abu Mazin and Fayyad?

1) Haniyehs’ government is the legitimate one

28.1

27.4

29.1

2) Abu Mazin’s and Fayyad government is the legitimate one

27.6

25.5

31.4

3) Both governments are legitimate

10.9

11.4

10.0

4) Both governments are not legitimate

28.2

29.6

25.7

5) DK/NA

5.3

6.1

3.7

18)

From among the following three Palestinian priorities, which in your opinion is the most important one today?

1) Gaza reconstruction

16.4

17.2

15.0

2) Reconciliation and reunification of the West Bank and the

56.6

57.6

54.9

3) Return to quite and opening of Gaza crossings

26.1

23.9

29.9

4) DK/NA

0.9

1.3

0.2

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

19)

Mahmud Abbas's term as president of the Palestinian Authority ends in January 2010, if no new presidential elections take place on that date, does he lose or does not lose his legitimacy as president of the PA?

1) Certainly loses legitimacy

17.4

16.1

19.5

2) Loses legitimacy

42.3

44.2

38.9

3) Does not lose legitimacy

26.9

25.3

29.6

4) Certainly loses legitimacy

3.5

2.8

4.8

5) DK/NA

10.0

11.6

7.2

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

20)

Similarly, the Palestinian Legislative Council's term ends in January 2010, if no new legislative elections take place on that date, does it lose or does not lose its legitimacy?

1) Certainly loses legitimacy

15.6

13.8

18.6

2) Loses legitimacy

43.2

44.4

41.1

3) Does not lose legitimacy

27.7

26.9

29.1

4) Certainly loses legitimacy

2.6

2.2

3.3

5) DK/NA

10.9

12.7

7.8

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

21)

If president Abbas calls for new legislative and presidential elections to take place in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip on its constitutionally-mandated date in January 2010 but Hamas's dismissed government refused to allow it in the Gaza Strip, do you support or oppose holding elections in the West Bank only?

1) Certainly support

3.9

3.2

5.2

2) Support

21.5

24.4

16.5

3) Oppose

52.0

53.9

48.7

4) Certainly oppose

20.0

15.6

27.9

5) DK/NA

2.5

2.9

1.7

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

22)

And what if Hamas's dismissed government calls for new legislative and presidential elections to take place in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip on its constitutionally-mandated date in January 2010 but Salam Fayyad's government refused to allow it in the West Bank, do you support or oppose holding elections in the Gaza Strip only?

1) Certainly support

2.7

2.0

3.9

2) Support

15.9

16.6

14.6

3) Oppose

58.2

61.7

52.0

4) Certainly oppose

20.3

15.9

28.1

5) DK/NA

2.9

3.8

1.4

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

23)

If Fateh-Hamas dialogue fails to lead to the formation of a national unity government, do you support holding legislative and presidential elections on its constitutionally-mandated date in early 2010 in agreement between the two sides under the supervision of a single election commission whereby Hamas’s dismissed government in Gaza insures conduct of elections in the Gaza Strip and Salam Fayyad’s government in the West Bank insures conduct of elections in the West Bank?

1) Certainly yes

6.5

6.9

5.8

2) Yes

34.1

34.0

34.4

3) No

37.2

39.1

33.9

4) Certainly no

17.0

14.3

21.5

5) DK/NA

5.1

5.6

4.3

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

24)

In light of the failure of the Fateh-Hamas dialogue so far, there is talk about postponing legislative and presidential elections for a period of more than one year. Do you support or oppose this postponement?

1) Certainly support

4.5

5.0

3.6

2) Support

31.0

34.1

25.7

3) Oppose

46.8

44.8

50.1

4) Certainly oppose

13.2

10.8

17.3

5) DK/NA

4.6

5.3

3.4

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

25)

Given the power struggle, the infighting over jurisdiction, and the security chaos that followed the last legislative elections in 2006, what are your expectations for what might happen if new free and fair legislative and presidential elections take place? Will Fateh and Hamas accept or reject the results of such elections if they were in favor of the other side?

1) Both sides will accept the results

21.8

22.2

21.1

2) Both sides will reject the results

54.4

53.6

55.8

3) Hamas will accept and Fateh will reject the results

6.3

6.2

6.4

4) Fateh will accept and Hamas will reject the results

9.2

9.0

9.4

5) DK/NA

8.4

8.9

7.4

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

26)

And what about you? Will you accept the results of the next legislative and presidential elections if the elections were free and fair but the results came in favor of the side you did not vote for?

1) Certainly will accept

47.7

49.3

45.0

2) Think I will accept

35.5

34.5

37.2

3) Think I will not accept

9.3

8.1

11.4

4) Certainly will not accept

3.6

4.2

2.6

5) DK/NA

3.9

3.9

3.7

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

27)

After conducting new legislative and presidential elections, In your view, the newly elected PLC should enjoy

1) Same powers as those of the newly elected President

32.9

34.0

31.0

2) Greater powers than those of the newly elected President

38.0

40.1

34.2

3) Less powers than those of the newly elected President

21.5

17.6

28.4

4) DK/NA

7.6

8.3

6.4

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

28)

To what extent are you worried or not worried that you or a member of your family could be hurt in your daily life by other Palestinians such as those affiliated with Fateh or Hamas?

1) Very Worried

18.1

14.9

23.7

2) Worried

34.8

38.5

28.3

3) Not worried

30.9

29.4

33.4

4) Not worried at all

15.3

15.9

14.4

5) DK/NA

0.9

1.3

0.2

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

29)

Can any side in the conflict between Fateh and Hamas obtain unilaterally a solution in its favor by military or by other means?

1) Yes, Hamas can

7.0

5.8

9.3

2) Yes, Fateh can

7.3

6.8

8.3

3) Neither side can and dialogue is required

58.6

58.3

59.1

4) The conflict cannot be solved neither unilaterally nor by dialogue

22.1

23.9

19.0

5) DK/NA

5.0

5.3

4.4

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

30)

Do you expect the dialogue in Cairo among the various factions to succeed in ending the current West Bank-Gaza Strip split?
1) Certainly will succeed

2.6

2.2

3.2

2) Will succeed

34.6

32.9

37.5

3) Will fail

43.4

43.6

43.1

4) Certainly will fail

14.1

14.2

13.8

5) DK/NA

5.4

7.1

2.5

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

31)

The most difficult issue in the dialogue between Fateh and Hamas is the platform of the national unity government. Fatehdemands the formation of a government that accepts all previous agreements between the PLO and Israel while Hamas is opposed to that. What do you think? Do you agree or disagree with Fateh’s demand?

1) Certainly agree

8.5

6.9

11.1

2) Agree

40.5

39.1

43.0

3) Disagree

37.3

39.6

33.1

4) Certainly disagree

8.0

7.2

9.5

5) DK/NA

5.7

7.1

3.3

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

32)

In the dialogue regarding the entry of Hamas into the PLO, Fateh demands that Hamas must accept all previous agreements between the PLO and Israel while Hamas is opposed to that. What do you think? Should Hamas accept or not accept this Fateh demand in order to gain entry into the PLO?
1) Hamas should accept the agreements

46.1

43.2

51.1

2) Hamas should not accept the agreements

44.4

45.9

41.7

3) DK/NA

9.5

10.9

7.2

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

33)

Given the failure of the dialogue between Fateh and Hamas, what are your expectations for the future of the West Bank and the Gaza Strip?

1) Unity will resume in the near future

11.5

9.0

15.9

2) Unity will resume but will take a long time

53.2

54.2

51.6

3) Unity will not resume and two separate entities will emerge

32.1

33.4

29.7

4) DK/NA

3.2

3.5

2.7

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

34)

Now that Fateh's Sixth congress has been held, with a 20 year delay, what are your expectations regarding the future ofFateh?

1) Will emerge stronger and unified

39.0

34.0

47.6

2) Will emerge weaker and fragmented

21.9

23.7

18.8

3) Will remain as it is today

33.9

37.2

28.0

4) DK/NA

5.3

5.0

5.6

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

35)

Fateh’s Sixth Congress has elected new Central Committee and Revolutionary Council. What is your opinion of the new leadership of Fateh, will it be more or less able than the previous leadership in carrying out the following:

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

35-1

Achieving reconciliation with Hamas

1) Will be more able

40.1

36.2

46.9

2) Will be less able

21.7

21.1

22.8

3) Will be the same as the previous one

32.4

36.7

24.9

4) DK/NA

5.8

6.0

5.5

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

35-2)

Fighting corruption inside Fateh

1) Will be more able

43.4

40.6

48.3

2) Will be less able

21.3

20.8

22.3

3) Will be the same as the previous one

29.5

33.0

23.5

4) DK/NA

5.8

5.7

5.9

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

35-3

Working to end the Israeli occupation

1) Will be more able

27.3

24.1

33.0

2) Will be less able

28.4

27.2

30.5

3) Will be the same as the previous one

38.0

42.4

30.2

4) DK/NA

6.3

6.3

6.4

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

36)

Have you or any one in your family been attacked physically or your home, land, car, or shop been stolen or attacked by another Palestinian during the last year?

1) Yes

9.1

8.1

10.8

2) No

90.5

91.6

88.7

3) Refused to answer

0.4

0.3

0.4

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

37)

If the answer is yes, have you made a complaint to the Palestinian police or any other security service?

1) Yes

40.2

52.2

24.9

2) No

58.3

46.7

72.9

3) Refused to answer

1.6

1.1

2.2

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

38)

If the answer is no, what is the reason for not making a complaint?

1) Do not trust the police or the security services

40.8

21.8

56.9

2) They can do nothing about it

43.4

50.6

37.4

3) Did not want the matter to become public knowledge

10.6

16.3

5.7

4) Other (specify -------- )

5.1

11.2

0.0

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

39) If the answer is yes, are you satisfied with the performance of the police or the other security services with regard to the investigation and the uncovering of the circumstances of the attack?

1) Yes

25.8

27.5

21.2

2) No

72.5

70.0

78.8

3) DK/NA

1.8

2.5

0.0

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

40) There is a proposal that after the establishment of an independent Palestinian state and the settlemnet of all issues in dispute, including the refugees and Jerusalem issues, there will be a mutual recognition of Israel as the state of the Jewishpeople and Palestine as the state of the Palestinians people. Do you agree or disagree to this proposal?

1) Certainly agree

6.8

6.3

7.6

2) Agree

42.5

43.3

41.2

3) Disagree

35.0

35.1

34.8

4) Certainly disagree

14.3

13.4

15.8

5) DK/NA

1.4

2.0

0.5

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

41)

And what is the Palestinian majority opinion on this issue? Do most Palestinians in the West Bank and Gaza support or oppose the recognition of Israel as the state of the Jewish people and Palestine as the state of the Palestinian people at theend of the peace process?

1) Majority supports

47.3

45.3

50.7

2) Majority opposes

46.7

48.5

43.5

3) DK/NA

6.0

6.2

5.8

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

42)

And what is the Israeli majority opinion on this issue? Do most Israelis support or oppose the recognition of Israel as the state of the Jewish people and Palestine as the state of the Palestinian people at the end of the peace process?

1) Majority supports

37.3

35.9

39.7

2) Majority opposes

56.0

57.2

53.7

3) DK/NA

6.7

6.8

6.6

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

43)

Now 40 years after the Israeli occupation of the West Bank and the Gaza Strip, what in your view are the chances for the establishment of an independent Palestinian state next to the state of Israel in the next five years? Are they high, medium, low, or none existent?

1) None existent

29.3

32.2

24.1

2) Low

39.3

38.5

40.8

3) Medium

25.8

23.6

29.6

4) High

3.8

3.7

4.0

5) DK/NA

1.8

2.0

1.6

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

44)

Now after about eight months since he became president, how do you view the policy of President Obama? Do you see it supportive of the Palestinians, the Israelis or both?

1) Supportive of Israel

63.8

63.4

64.6

2) Supportive of the Palestinians

6.9

5.6

9.0

3) Supportive of both sides

23.3

23.8

22.5

4) DK/NA

6.0

7.2

3.9

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

45)

What do you want president Obama to do? Do you want him to play a stronger role in the Palestinian-Israeli peace process or do you want him not to intervene in the peace process?

1) I want a stronger role for the US in the peace process

60.7

60.5

61.1

2) I want the US to continue to play its current role in the

6.1

4.8

8.4

3) I want the US not to intervene in the peace process

29.4

29.3

29.6

4) DK/NA

3.8

5.5

1.0

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

46)

If the US under president Obama plays a strong role in the peace process, do you think this would bring about a successful or failed Palestinian-Israeli peace process?

1) Certainly will lead to successful process

26.2

22.1

33.5

2) Think it will lead to successful process

29.7

31.9

25.9

3) Will not have an impact

14.9

17.6

10.2

4) Think it will lead to failed process

17.8

14.6

23.3

5) Certainly will lead to failed process

7.9

9.3

5.3

6) DK/NA

3.5

4.5

1.9

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

47)

Who in your opinion would benefit more if the US intervened strongly in the Palestinian-Israeli peace process, Israel or the Palestinians?

1) Israel

61.3

61.1

61.7

2) Palestinians

9.7

9.4

10.2

3) Neither side

4.0

4.4

3.3

4) Both sides

22.4

22.2

22.8

5) DK/NA

2.6

2.8

2.1

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

48) According to the Saudi plan, Israel will retreat from all territories occupied in 1967 including Gaza, the West Bank, Jerusalem and the Golan Heights, and a Palestinian state will be established. The refugees problem will be resolved through negotiation in a just and agreed upon manner and in accordance with UN resolution 194 which allows return of refugees to Israel and compensation. In return, all Arab states will recognize Israel and its right to secure borders, will sign peace treaties with her and establish normal diplomatic relations. Do you agree or disagree to this plan?

1) Certainly agree

10.6

8.5

14.2

2) Agree

53.2

52.5

54.3

3) Disagree

23.3

25.3

19.8

4) Certainly disagree

10.8

10.9

10.6

5) DK/NA

2.1

2.7

1.1

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

49)

If the US under president Obama decides to pressure the Palestinians and the Israeli sides to accept and implement the Arab or Saudi Peace Initiative, do you think the Palestinian side should accept or reject this American intervention

1) Accept

57.9

57.1

59.3

2) Reject

38.7

39.0

38.1

3) DK/NA

3.5

3.9

2.6

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

50) What in your opinion will be the attitude of most Israelis to such American intervention - would they accept or reject it?

1) Accept

45.9

45.4

46.7

2) Reject

49.2

49.6

48.5

3) DK/NA

4.9

5.0

4.8

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

51)

When Palestinians and Israelis return to final status negotiations the following items might be presented to negotiators as the elements of a permanent compromise settlement. Tell us what you think of each item then tell us what you think of all combined as one permanent status settlement 1. An Israeli withdrawal from all of the Gaza Strip and the evacuation of its settlements. But in the West Bank, Israel withdraws and evacuates settlements from most of it, with the exception of few settlement areas in less than 3% of the West Bank that would be exchanged with an equal amount of territory from Israel in accordance with the attached map {show map}. 2. An independent Palestinian state would be established in the areas from which Israel withdraws in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip; the Palestinian state will have no army, but it will have a strong security force but an international multinational force would be deployed to insure the safety and security of the state. Both sides will be committed to end all forms of violence directed against each other. 3. East Jerusalem would become the capital of the Palestinian state with Arab neighborhoods coming under Palestinian sovereignty and Jewish neighborhoods coming under Israel sovereignty. The Old City (including al Haram al Sharif) would come under Palestinian sovereignty with the exception of the Jewish Quarter and the Wailing Wall that will come under Israeli sovereignty. 4. With regard to the refugee question, both sides agree that the solution will be based on UN resolutions 194 and 242 and on the Arab peace initiative. The refugees will be given five choices for permanent residency. These are: the Palestinian state and the Israeli areas transferred to the Palestinian state in the territorial exchange mentioned above; no restrictions would be imposed on refugee return to these two areas. Residency in the other three areas (in host countries, third countries, and Israel) would be subject to the decision of the states in those areas. The number of refugees returning to Israel will be based on the average number of refugees admitted to third countries like Australia, Canada, Europe, and others. All refugees will be entitled to compensation for their "refugeehood" and loss of properties. 5. When the permanent status agreement is fully implemented, it will mean the end of the conflict and no further claims will be made by either side. The parties will recognize Palestine and Israel as the homelands of their respective peoples 6. The Palestinian state will have sovereignty over its land, water, and airspace. But Israeli will be allowed to use the Palestinian airspace for training purposes, and will maintain two early warning stations in the West Bank for 15 years. The multinational force will remain in the Palestinian state for an indefinite period of time and its responsibility will be to insure the implementation of the agreement, and to monitor territorial borders and coast of the Palestinian state including its international border crossings. Now that you have been informed of each element of the permanent compromise settlement, tell us what you think of each of its item. Do you agree or disagree with it

51-1)

Item #1: withdrawal to 1967 borders with territorial swap

1) Strongly agree

5.4

4.5

6.9

2) Agree

43.2

39.2

50.2

3) Disagree

35.4

39.6

28.3

4) Strongly Disagree

14.6

15.0

13.9

5) DK/NA

1.3

1.6

0.7

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

51-2)

Item #2: a state without an army but with international forces

1) Strongly agree

1.2

1.0

1.6

2) Agree

22.3

21.5

23.7

3) Disagree

53.3

54.4

51.5

4) Strongly Disagree

22.2

21.9

22.8

5) DK/NA

1.0

1.2

0.5

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

51-3)

Item #3: East Jerusalem as capital of the state of Palestine after it is divided

1) Strongly agree

1.6

1.4

2.1

2) Agree

29.2

28.7

29.9

3) Disagree

45.5

47.7

41.8

4) Strongly Disagree

22.5

20.7

25.7

5) DK/NA

1.1

1.5

0.5

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

51-4)

Item #4: refugees with five options for permanent residence

1) Strongly agree

2.5

1.4

4.5

2) Agree

34.2

32.0

38.1

3) Disagree

40.7

45.3

32.8

4) Strongly Disagree

20.0

18.1

23.2

5) DK/NA

2.5

3.1

1.4

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

51-5)

Item #5: end of conflict

1) Strongly agree

6.8

5.5

9.1

2) Agree

47.9

43.5

55.5

3) Disagree

29.9

35.7

19.8

4) Strongly Disagree

13.9

13.6

14.4

5) DK/NA

1.5

1.7

1.2

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

51-6)

Item #6: a sovereign state with security arrangements

1) Strongly agree

3.1

1.7

5.5

2) Agree

31.2

24.5

42.7

3) Disagree

45.3

54.0

30.2

4) Strongly Disagree

19.1

18.3

20.4

5) DK/NA

1.4

1.5

1.2

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

51-7)

Item #7: the combined elements as one permanent status settlement

1) Strongly agree

2.4

1.3

4.4

2) Agree

35.4

28.6

47.1

3) Disagree

43.0

49.9

31.0

4) Strongly Disagree

17.8

18.6

16.4

5) DK/NA

1.4

1.6

1.2

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

52)

And what is the Palestinian majority opinion on this combined package for a permanent status settlement? Do most Palestinians in the West Bank and Gaza support or oppose this combined final status package?

1) Majority supports

43.1

37.7

52.5

2) Majority opposes

49.6

54.7

40.9

3) DK/NA

7.2

7.6

6.6

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

53)

And what is the Israeli majority opinion on this combined package for a permanent status settlement? Do most Israelis support or oppose this combined final status package?

1) Majority supports

41.3

39.5

44.3

2) Majority opposes

51.5

52.9

49.0

3) DK/NA

7.3

7.5

6.8

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

54)

If the US under president Obama decides to pressure the Palestinians and the Israeli sides to accept and implement this compromise permanent settlement as outlined above in the six items, do you think the Palestinian side should accept or reject this American intervention?

1) Accept

44.5

42.7

47.7

2) Reject

51.8

53.2

49.3

3) DK/NA

3.7

4.0

3.0

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

55)

What in your opinion will be the attitude of most Israelis to such American intervention - would they accept or reject it?

1) Accept

47.8

46.2

50.6

2) Reject

46.7

48.2

44.0

3) DK/NA

5.5

5.6

5.4

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

56)

There is talk about activating the Arab Peace Initiative as the US administration has asked some Arab countries to take confidence building measures toward Israel (such as trade and allowing Israeli commercial planes access to Arab airspace) in order to encourage it to make concessions to the Palestinians (such as freezing settlement construction, removing checkpoints, and stopping home demolition). Do you think that if Arab countries do take such measures this will indeed encourage Israel to make concessions to the Palestinians?

1) Certainly yes

5.4

4.2

7.4

2) Yes

29.9

29.0

31.4

3) No

41.0

42.3

38.7

4) Certainly no

20.3

21.5

18.3

5) DK/NA

3.4

3.0

4.2

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

57)

If it was indeed shown that Arab confidence building measures such as those described above would be necessary to push Israel to make concessions to the Palestinians, would you say that Arab states in this case should take such confidence building measures?

1) Certainly yes

5.1

4.1

6.8

2) Yes

35.5

35.3

35.8

3) No

42.7

45.3

38.1

4) Certainly no

13.0

11.8

15.0

5) DK/NA

3.7

3.4

4.4

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

58)

What do you expect to happen between Palestinians and Israelis now given the American involvement in the conflict in recent months?

1) Negotiations will resume soon enough and armed confrontations will stop

20.5

21.1

19.6

2) Negotiations will resume but some armed attacks will continue

46.5

45.1

48.9

3) Armed confrontations will not stop and the two sides will not return to negotiations

28.5

28.5

28.5

4) DK/NA

4.5

5.3

3.0

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

59)

If you were to select a vice president, whom would you select?

1) Ismail Haniyeh

21.1

16.8

28.7

2) Salam Fayyad

6.8

5.8

8.4

3) Marwan Barghouti

36.5

37.6

34.7

4) Mustafa Barghouti

9.3

9.9

8.3

5)Sa'eb Uraikat

4.1

3.9

4.4

6)Other

6.8

7.0

6.5

7)NA/DK

15.3

18.9

9.1

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

60)

Which of the following political parties do you support?

1) PPP

0.9

1.0

0.7

2) PFLP

4.7

5.2

3.8

3) Fateh

33.7

30.7

38.8

4) Hamas

18.9

15.2

25.4

5) DFLP

0.2

0.4

6) Islamic Jihad

1.8

2.4

0.9

7) Fida

0.1

0.1

8) National Initiative (Mubadara)

1.7

2.4

0.5

9) Independent Islamists

2.9

2.7

3.3

10) Independent Nationalists

3.1

3.8

1.8

11- None of the above

31.7

36.0

24.2

12- Others

0.4

0.3

0.7

* DN188 DN680 SvD729 SvD505 SvD503 SDS SDS db | . ....

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